Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9442c04b43605a10917a1f74ad40fcdcec7b9b958534204dccfd8349026fcb71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 1,849$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 41c | 1,196$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.77 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 39c | 1,101$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.17 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Over | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf85…71e4backed Under | 37c | 656.76$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under | 39c | 530$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 38c | 480.58$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 62c | 303.68$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 60c | 267.01$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 61c | 196.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.98 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…b969backed Over | 58c | 188.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 60c | 175.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 61c | 156.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.43 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 60c | 131.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 127.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…5a38backed Over | 64c | 59.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f8f2backed Over | 60c | 46.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 62c | 39.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…3783backed Over | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 61c | 36.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 63c | 34.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 62c | 24.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Over | 56c | 22.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -16.1wins | -0.46per pick | 52cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 20-0.27 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.