Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x106833bab67efe9d009acab2a4771739d934c2468655222f6a4d56219f5e884a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 74c | 6,054$4,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.23 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.98 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 28c | 2,939$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.73 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 74c | 1,119$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.74 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6abd…94ecbacked Over | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…f077backed Over | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.81 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Under | 27c | 733.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…af29backed Over | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Over | 76c | 660.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.24 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 25c | 594.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 24c | 382.41$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 329.94$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 286.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 237.28$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…1e09backed Over | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…f8c6backed Over | 73c | 219.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Under | 33c | 174.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…6a2cbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…b46dbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf600…9e5ebacked Over | 73c | 137.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 26c | 132.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 23c | 131.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 285 | 45.3%129 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…0d36backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 173 | 35.3%61 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f3…14acbacked Over | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 80c | 100.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 24c | 93.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 73c | 86.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 22c | 83.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…01f6backed Over | 74c | 70.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73dd…c187backed Over | 76c | 68.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…8907backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 22c | 63.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 32c | 58.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 78c | 56.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…ae4ebacked Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…e8fabacked Over | 68c | 43.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…3b30backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…88dfbacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…7a42backed Under | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…e3acbacked Over | 71c | 39.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…463bbacked Over | 70c | 36.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 72c | 36.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 72c | 33.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Over | 75c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…076fbacked Over | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 73c | 29.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f49…24bcbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…5b60backed Over | 79c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2910…d76cbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa6…0b79backed Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked Over | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 139 | 76.3%106 W · 33 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 75c | 16.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…8446backed Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…709fbacked Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.