Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3639a28437f3f0fa15633e75358cc6ecae48fa257903d559e2297f46c6d2d272
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a44…d5a5backed Under | 67c | 1,388$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.01 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 33c | 881.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.65 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 35c | 840.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Under | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb673…d240backed Over | 33c | 678.79$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 31c | 595.2$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.51 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Under | 66c | 545.48$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.48 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…a15abacked Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 298.28$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 62c | 277.11$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c5…4667backed Under | 69c | 268.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 27c | 167.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 33c | 155.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Over | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…8b7abacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed Under | 64c | 149.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…1e09backed Under | 64c | 130$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…bf6bbacked Under | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 66c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…b9cdbacked Over | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Over | 33c | 69.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 34c | 66.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 60.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…ff8bbacked Under | 71c | 54.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…244dbacked Under | 73c | 53.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +9.5wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…4a60backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Under | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…6dc4backed Under | 67c | 29.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7d…f88ebacked Under | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 64c | 25.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 165 | 35.2%58 W · 107 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 7.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.