TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe922…ab1e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.39
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$26.55
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.67
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.67
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Jets vs. Ducksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Wildbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Blue Jackets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Capitals vs. Lightningbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Flyersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Rangers vs. Red Wingsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Lightning vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Bruins vs. Islandersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+134.4%+$31.19
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Red Wings vs. Sharksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+87.5%+$17.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Miami Heatbacked Cleveland Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.55
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+281.5%+$56.3
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54.2
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.