NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7452831d9ae8cc4a1f9fef50a86255701a610deb3fa0bc9848bddad93e8437a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Flyers | 47c | 20,737$9,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,757.19 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Senators | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.97 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Flyers | 13c | 7,755$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 52c | 7,142$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.18 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 53c | 6,693$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 47c | 5,792$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.26 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flyers | 48c | 5,531$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.98 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Senators | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 41c | 4,851$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.35 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Senators | 54c | 3,670$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.03 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Senators | 57c | 2,326$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.48 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Senators | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.34 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Senators | 48c | 2,146$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Flyers | 46c | 2,142$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.94 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Senators | 79c | 2,004$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…6933backed Senators | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Flyers | 47c | 1,983$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Flyers | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Flyers | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.99 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Flyers | 25c | 1,594$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.63 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…e54fbacked Flyers | 47c | 1,525$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Senators | 52c | 1,450$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.46 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Flyers | 48c | 1,306$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.9 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,085$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.55 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Senators | 53c | 1,070$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Senators | 51c | 1,064$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.47 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Senators | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Flyers | 53c | 979.9$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flyers | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Senators | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 47c | 841.99$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.73 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flyers | 45c | 807.16$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.22 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 46c | 787.88$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.47 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flyers | 21c | 756.13$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.87 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 47c | 749.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Flyers | 49c | 713$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.37 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 52c | 709.89$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.14 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…c514backed Senators | 49c | 698.98$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Flyers | 47c | 626.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Senators | 67c | 581.65$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.38 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Senators | 51c | 577.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Flyers | 47c | 574.47$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…3c22backed Senators | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…b96fbacked Flyers | 48c | 552.08$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…2ad5backed Flyers | 48c | 535.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…f861backed Senators | 52c | 450$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…44bdbacked Flyers | 49c | 448$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 48c | 443.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Flyers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Flyers | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 65c | 393.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5671…a12bbacked Senators | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Senators | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Senators | 55c | 368.6$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…4acabacked Flyers | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flyers | 17c | 360$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Senators | 54c | 354.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1138…b2c8backed Flyers | 48c | 336.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Senators | 48c | 322.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.92 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Flyers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flyers | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Flyers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Senators | 47c | 300$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Senators | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…0d78backed Flyers | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56dc…1efebacked Senators | 53c | 285$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…d8b3backed Flyers | 48c | 281$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 48c | 276$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…2b49backed Senators | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3d…3d30backed Flyers | 49c | 269$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…98dbbacked Flyers | 49c | 263$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…55f8backed Senators | 52c | 263$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…ea45backed Senators | 52c | 261$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…697abacked Flyers | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…a624backed Senators | 53c | 260$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f1f4backed Senators | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Senators | 51c | 259.72$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…13dabacked Flyers | 49c | 258$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…c4ecbacked Flyers | 48c | 255$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Flyers | 27c | 250.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…98f6backed Senators | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a900backed Flyers | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc5…2659backed Flyers | 49c | 249$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…32c5backed Flyers | 47c | 249$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…d7bcbacked Flyers | 49c | 245$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…8ffabacked Senators | 52c | 242$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…2b73backed Flyers | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0832backed Senators | 52c | 235$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…b866backed Senators | 53c | 235$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Flyers | 47c | 231.49$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a47…8839backed Flyers | 47c | 231$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…cd4abacked Flyers | 49c | 230$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…08f2backed Flyers | 48c | 228.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…a7e6backed Senators | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afe…7d52backed Senators | 49c | 225.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab9…c35dbacked Flyers | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…2961backed Senators | 53c | 225$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb162…8f4bbacked Senators | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…d99dbacked Senators | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Flyersthis page
- Senators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Senators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.