NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6760894fdee8f71fecdd3ac6aa54eb75e49e5befff3d171408f392aa723bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,914,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,098,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,914,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Wizards | 39c | 817,243$320,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320,693.01 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mavericks | 67c | 136,236$91,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,410.36 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mavericks | 60c | 125,000$75,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 61c | 77,264$46,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,344.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Mavericks | 61c | 62,788$38,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,378.05 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Mavericks | 61c | 58,000$35,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,620 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Mavericks | 61c | 52,208$31,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,213.51 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Mavericks | 62c | 50,375$30,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,392.22 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Mavericks | 61c | 50,000$30,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Mavericks | 58c | 40,689$23,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,138.95 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Mavericks | 61c | 38,961$23,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,069.97 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks | 57c | 35,042$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,041.51 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Mavericks | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,650 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mavericks | 60c | 32,869$19,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,148.15 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Mavericks | 61c | 31,324$19,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,145.27 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Mavericks | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,750 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Mavericks | 61c | 25,000$15,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.99 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Mavericks | 60c | 24,646$14,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,746.85 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mavericks | 60c | 22,429$13,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,889.01 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Mavericks | 55c | 15,802$8,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.03 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Mavericks | 61c | 14,504$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,672.18 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Mavericks | 60c | 14,162$8,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,664.66 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…377ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 14,000$7,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,760 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Wizards | 37c | 13,675$5,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,110.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks | 62c | 13,536$8,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.47 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…f178backed Mavericks | 14c | 12,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,320 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 61c | 12,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Mavericks | 72c | 10,516$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.36 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9465…cfeebacked Wizards | 0c | 10,090$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Mavericks | 62c | 9,710$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.68 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Mavericks | 62c | 9,677$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.42 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Wizards | 39c | 9,434$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 63c | 8,965$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.35 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wizards | 37c | 7,860$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.49 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks | 62c | 7,168$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.65 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Mavericks | 61c | 6,968$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.44 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards | 36c | 6,668$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.13 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Mavericks | 38c | 6,039$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,726.55 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mavericks | 62c | 5,931$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.54 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 64c | 5,555$3,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Mavericks | 61c | 5,250$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Mavericks | 47c | 5,098$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.96 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Mavericks | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 54c | 4,844$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fa…ae2ebacked Mavericks | 62c | 4,800$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Mavericks | 61c | 4,725$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.67 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Wizards | 55c | 4,551$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.05 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 57c | 4,325$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.52 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Wizards | 39c | 4,276$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.23 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Wizards | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Wizards | 44c | 4,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.99 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fa…9dffbacked Wizards | 68c | 3,948$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 21c | 3,918$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.55 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 55c | 3,768$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.56 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d98…e447backed Wizards | 39c | 3,590$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mavericks | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Mavericks | 57c | 3,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Wizards | 47c | 3,268$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.78 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks | 61c | 3,221$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.11 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ca…ca43backed Mavericks | 54c | 3,200$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.38 | 115 | 75.7%87 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Mavericks | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Mavericks | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wizards | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Mavericks | 61c | 2,838$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.36 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Mavericks | 61c | 2,700$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mavericks | 61c | 2,618$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.02 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Wizards | 38c | 2,612$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.4 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Wizards | 36c | 2,545$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Wizards | 40c | 2,518$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Mavericks | 60c | 2,459$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.51 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 60c | 2,340$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.27 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Wizards | 36c | 2,311$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.15 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Wizards | 36c | 2,250$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 34c | 2,212$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.23 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Mavericks | 60c | 2,196$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.86 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards | 37c | 2,100$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Wizards | 14c | 2,012$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.91 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Wizards | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,975$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.95 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 17c | 1,824$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 57c | 1,750$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.55 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,614$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Wizards | 39c | 1,509$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.79 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Wizards | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Mavericks | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Mavericks | 71c | 1,483$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.29 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Wizards | 35c | 1,430$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…4732backed Wizards | 34c | 1,400$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Wizards | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Mavericks | 78c | 1,277$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.93 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Wizards | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Wizards | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.98 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 61c | 1,197$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.07 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed Mavericks | 55c | 1,178$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Mavericks | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wizards | 37c | 1,129$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.65 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 35c | 1,128$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 36c | 1,098$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.13 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Wizardsthis page
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.