MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89625eef5782b4d99ea63a89151c4f1869d9dad18bcd316e6fa151d5621850ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Athletics, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $766,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $776,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $766,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 133,423$83,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,165.71 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Athletics | 38c | 79,140$30,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,073.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 36c | 59,978$21,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,761.11 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…64c3backed Athletics | 0c | 35,515$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 75c | 31,188$23,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,868.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 28,723$18,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,627.46 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 24,998$15,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.3 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Athletics | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 36c | 15,370$5,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,597.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 38c | 12,862$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 12,198$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.73 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 38c | 10,463$4,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,005.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Athletics | 43c | 10,057$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.22 | 1,140 | 43%490 W · 650 L | -37.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 9c | 9,742$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.68 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.97 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 39c | 8,621$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 7,645$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.54 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Athletics | 58c | 6,778$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.59 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Athletics | 38c | 6,271$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.93 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 37c | 6,174$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…2a96backed Athletics | 57c | 6,139$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 5,900$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.8 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,757$3,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.65 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Athletics | 16c | 5,698$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.62 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 42c | 5,631$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.46 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 40c | 5,201$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.73 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 10c | 5,086$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.32 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Athletics | 42c | 4,602$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.34 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 4,340$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Athletics | 39c | 3,825$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 40c | 3,490$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Athletics | 55c | 3,333$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.17 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 2,734$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.79 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,605$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.11 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 2,579$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.03 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics | 31c | 2,311$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.54 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 36c | 2,254$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.43 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 23c | 2,234$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.45 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,119$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 63c | 2,118$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.58 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 2,110$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.05 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,949$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.31 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,928$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.34 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Athletics | 40c | 1,907$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.42 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed Athletics | 46c | 1,817$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.41 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfe…2ac7backed Seattle Mariners | 63c | 1,785$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Seattle Mariners | 39c | 1,751$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.39 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Athletics | 38c | 1,687$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.22 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Athletics | 39c | 1,594$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.08 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 1,458$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 1,444$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.65 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,418$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Seattle Mariners | 67c | 1,413$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.33 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,316$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.46 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked Athletics | 41c | 1,273$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…d70fbacked Seattle Mariners | 48c | 1,267$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,258$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.81 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,248$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.52 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Seattle Mariners | 72c | 1,195$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.86 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Athletics | 55c | 1,097$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…3a86backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,013$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.34 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 1,005$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…cba3backed Athletics | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 1,000$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.66 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 965.43$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.93 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 954.63$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.3 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39eb…0e4cbacked Athletics | 51c | 951.57$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.3 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 931.68$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.35 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Athletics | 38c | 886.79$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.98 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Athletics | 18c | 880.42$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 874.79$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.38 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd497…d622backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 828.96$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Athletics | 48c | 764.39$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.91 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Athletics | 56c | 714.17$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…ad77backed Athletics | 55c | 707.64$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 700$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Athletics | 63c | 698.12$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.39 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Athletics | 38c | 670.11$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.64 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Athletics | 39c | 645$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.43 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Athletics | 43c | 643.42$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…aaecbacked Athletics | 24c | 617.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 593.3$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.45 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Athletics | 36c | 588.79$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.97 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Athletics | 48c | 580.44$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.1 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 580.25$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 580.09$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.57 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Athletics | 45c | 577.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.76 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Athletics | 59c | 549.72$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics | 38c | 546.87$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.81 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 527.15$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Athletics | 28c | 512.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 509.84$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.38 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Athletics | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.56 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Athletics | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 497.16$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Athletics | 57c | 475.59$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.28 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.