MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fe6d68443fa497c6aa3f9ec1dff8567c03fc612e083b82f1eb1d5c9d8fa1e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 49c | 28,328$13,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,774.18 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 26,005$13,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,652.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…64b8backed Over | 53c | 6,545$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 2c | 6,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 5,868$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 5,240$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 47c | 4,663$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.84 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 2,717$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.93 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 52c | 2,040$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.97 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 48c | 1,671$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 1,465$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 43c | 1,333$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 39c | 1,308$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.38 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 49c | 1,170$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.25 | 191 | 57.6%110 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 1,010$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.06 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 999.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 51c | 951.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.08 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 48c | 897.86$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.36 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 46c | 707.77$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.93 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 50c | 655.72$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.86 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 33c | 626.78$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 54c | 571.75$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.96 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 45c | 399.44$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.55 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Under | 50c | 390.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 342.52$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Under | 53c | 333.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.07 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 52c | 300.29$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.14 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 58c | 299.81$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.43 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Over | 73c | 267.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Under | 27c | 263.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 49c | 244.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.89 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 54c | 239.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.53 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 51c | 214.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Under | 50c | 199.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 50c | 184.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 50c | 165$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 52c | 159.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 53c | 145.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…189bbacked Under | 50c | 143.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Over | 51c | 123.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 486 | 51%248 W · 238 L | -18.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 44c | 117.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 28c | 113.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 36c | 108.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…225ebacked Under | 50c | 101.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 38c | 97.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 37c | 92.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 86.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 41c | 85.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 59c | 82.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 57c | 77.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 45c | 76.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 56c | 73.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Under | 52c | 71.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 48c | 67.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 41c | 66.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…69ddbacked Under | 50c | 63.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 53c | 61.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 53c | 54.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 51c | 53.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 39c | 52.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 48c | 50.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c09…990bbacked Under | 41c | 46.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9591backed Under | 23c | 45.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Under | 39c | 43.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 67c | 42.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…03b0backed Over | 57c | 42.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 42.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…7936backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 42c | 38.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Under | 49c | 35.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 51c | 34.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 54c | 34.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 29.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…41f8backed Over | 78c | 28.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…a82fbacked Under | 63c | 27.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 45c | 24.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Under | 52c | 24.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 59c | 23.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Under | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…b78dbacked Over | 65c | 22.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 52c | 19.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Over | 64c | 18.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.