TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Avalanche vs. Oilers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Avalancheof Avalanche, Oilers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,745
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$320,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,745 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b3d…7422backed Oilers47c107,000$50,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,29014057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Avalanche53c60,102$31,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,247.5388151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Avalanche55c45,720$25,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,573.811955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Oilers45c41,240$18,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,557.9721652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche53c33,582$17,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,783.6447951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Oilers46c32,288$14,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,852.4857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Avalanche54c20,077$10,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,235.4225449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Avalanche55c15,000$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,75042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Avalanche12c14,200$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4962147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Avalanche53c13,710$7,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,470.4715953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d1…9d8fbacked Avalanche54c11,865$6,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,457.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Oilers45c10,339$4,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,652.3914538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Oilers1c10,263$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1433837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Oilers0c10,163$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1618520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche54c9,864$5,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,576.691,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Oilers48c5,975$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,868.4862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Oilers45c5,343$2,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,404.3552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Avalanche51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Oilers49c4,620$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,263.6248050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Oilers16c3,471$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9975251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Oilers45c3,422$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.0415646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche80c2,790$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.741,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Avalanche55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.2729651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6a…f9d0backed Oilers8c2,650$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7519836.9%73 W · 125 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oilers45c2,634$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.842,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Avalanche54c2,607$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.1440550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Oilers46c2,565$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1805248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Oilers48c2,563$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.2769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Oilers47c2,191$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.7230848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche53c2,111$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.7537847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Oilers17c2,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Oilers46c1,938$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.0441246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Avalanche54c1,596$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.31266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Oilers35c1,591$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.0315949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oilers17c1,402$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3426344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche55c1,218$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.181,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers48c1,028$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.41,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Oilers45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45012941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Avalanche53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Oilers46c754.35$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34715954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oilers46c726$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.961,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche55c686.66$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.7191653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Oilers48c566.16$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7619942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Oilers4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oilers46c503$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3858841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked Oilers46c456.52$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21014848%71 W · 77 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Avalanche74c380$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457b…e308backed Oilers46c364.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cd3…2b89backed Avalanche55c363.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Avalanche55c350$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.513158.8%77 W · 54 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Oilers45c312.21$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Oilers17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Oilers17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche58c277.85$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.773,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483b…abf9backed Oilers46c255.37$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4712348.8%60 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Oilers47c250$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11721750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Oilers47c222$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3423741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche75c218.12$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.81,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x068f…4594backed Oilers46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Oilers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oilers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f24…59e7backed Oilers48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd28…b1c0backed Oilers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Avalanche52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9620249.5%100 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd5…1306backed Oilers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944247.6%20 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Oilers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9443944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d48…b9a1backed Oilers17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Oilers47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9414447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche51c198.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.211,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Oilers46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Avalanche55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.827471.6%53 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+15.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Avalanche55c156$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.821,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Avalanche55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.545756.2%257 W · 200 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Avalanche55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6331047.4%147 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Oilers46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.031,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Oilers46c119.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Oilers48c107.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.68943.8%39 W · 50 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c0…93fdbacked Oilers17c106$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.029045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Oilers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Avalanche65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3520137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Oilers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Oilers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4616743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Oilers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Oilers45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7608…292bbacked Oilers28c94.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0138…8451backed Oilers46c90$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.49744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Oilers44c87.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.728444%37 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07bf…f9cebacked Avalanche55c87.53$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.393525.7%9 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Oilers46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022555.1%124 W · 101 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17f…60eebacked Oilers47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Oilers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-34%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2c4…909dbacked Oilers49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.220653.4%110 W · 96 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked Oilers45c77.49$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8730952.4%162 W · 147 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54b…a367backed Avalanche55c70.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.574751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe15f…93d7backed Avalanche51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.314053.6%75 W · 65 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb323…f505backed Avalanche53c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.436749.3%33 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Avalanche50c66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8330349.5%150 W · 153 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e7…1f62backed Avalanche55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6425050.4%126 W · 124 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.