Fifa International · resolved market
Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0fb4c2765cce2d1a8a0e00a1d7a5a00e154ff5fcdb024989b06a5cc4709ff58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 20c | 11,376$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.87 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 8,483$6,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.42 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 80c | 6,595$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.95 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 80c | 4,052$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.8 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 19c | 1,881$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.4 | 191 | 25.1%48 W · 143 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 20c | 1,521$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,158$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a6…7f42backed Yes | 1c | 1,099$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60a…1613backed Yes | 24c | 724.27$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…b016backed Yes | 20c | 585.23$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…cbe8backed Yes | 22c | 559.37$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.47 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 18c | 536.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.61 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35b…4a53backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 79c | 499.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc843…32b7backed Yes | 20c | 488.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…6871backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 399$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 19c | 260$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…fe41backed Yes | 22c | 260$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…fababacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 21.8%17 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…2f27backed Yes | 20c | 247.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…61ebbacked Yes | 20c | 236.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 74c | 220.36$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed Yes | 21c | 185.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 21c | 185.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 21c | 179.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7f…dc59backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 25%26 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…3405backed Yes | 18c | 150.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 124.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 79c | 117.3$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…93b5backed Yes | 11c | 100.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…25bdbacked Yes | 23c | 87.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 32.5%68 W · 141 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…f59abacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 79c | 74.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…2665backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 78c | 64.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79db…70cdbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…ab1ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 80c | 45.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…f55bbacked No | 80c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc3…d8e9backed No | 80c | 14.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adil Boulbina: 3+ shotsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shotsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.