Fifa International · resolved market
Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69519029b94cb7614d0e76b77958a40140a9706032a02fc74f458061fb25f558
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed Yes | 18c | 16,690$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.95 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 80c | 999.99$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d30…b016backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a0…da23backed Yes | 16c | 191.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 13.4%13 W · 84 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Yes | 17c | 143$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 238 | 38.7%92 W · 146 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b0…4758backed Yes | 17c | 119.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe76…8bb7backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f9…992abacked Yes | 17c | 75.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goalsthis page
- Adil Boulbina: 3+ shotsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shotsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.