Breel Embolo: 1+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81c0025ca5b640c234b4346b52de59e960d93e0bc15f166dc75b25b10c6e055e

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,457
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $33,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,457 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	35c	3,691$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,392.08	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No	66c	2,457$1,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,621.31	145	53.8%78 W · 67 L	+9.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	64c	2,427$1,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,553.9	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Yes	36c	2,112$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,361.74	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	64c	2,075$1,324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,323.67	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.99	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	65c	1,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.98	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	26c	1,232$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.56	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf189…f55bbacked No	66c	1,116$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	73cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked No	64c	914.37$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.34	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes	36c	833.33$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.33	278	20.1%56 W · 222 L	-17.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No	66c	817$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.22	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed Yes	36c	712.13$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$457.94	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-4.9wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe51d…7374backed No	66c	543$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+46.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No	63c	317.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.29	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No	63c	311.99$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.55	254	54.7%139 W · 115 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No	64c	310$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.4	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bef…2f27backed Yes	34c	291.18$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.18	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8640…cdf1backed Yes	35c	285.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.71	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	38c	277$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.74	361	23.5%85 W · 276 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	35c	275.09$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.76	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No	65c	250$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.54	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes	34c	220.59$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.59	551	53%292 W · 259 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes	36c	216.53$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.53	375	26.1%98 W · 277 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No	64c	200$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	311	71.4%222 W · 89 L	+15.4wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No	62c	199.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	151	77.5%117 W · 34 L	+13.1wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed Yes	37c	183.78$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.78	346	46%159 W · 187 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	15c	177.48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b4…5bb3backed No	67c	173.45$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.21	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.5wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes	36c	170$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.8	534	36%192 W · 342 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No	64c	150$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No	66c	150$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed No	67c	150$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed No	65c	148.48$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	331	23.6%78 W · 253 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Yes	34c	147.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.06	128	39.1%50 W · 78 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	113	23%26 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44cd…bc6dbacked Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b0e…8ba9backed Yes	35c	142.86$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.86	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.25per pick	28cpaid	+289.9%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No	65c	138$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.7	379	71.2%270 W · 109 L	+13.2wins	+0.03per pick	68cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes	36c	135.22$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.54	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes	38c	131.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.97	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	35c	111.72$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes	34c	88.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.24	169	43.8%74 W · 95 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf939…e5cbbacked Yes	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9382…a673backed Yes	37c	81.08$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.08	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes	36c	80.56$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.56	317	47.6%151 W · 166 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	36c	80$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.2	238	38.7%92 W · 146 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes	36c	79.94$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.16	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	36c	69.44$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.44	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No	65c	64.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.1	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked No	63c	59.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.79	364	23.6%86 W · 278 L	+12.1wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee3…089ebacked Yes	33c	59.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.97	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.24per pick	49cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf02f…c2f4backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00fc…0e07backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.56	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes	38c	52.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.63	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x605d…1464backed Yes	40c	51.58$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.95	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes	35c	51.43$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.43	667	45%300 W · 367 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	36c	51.39$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.89	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	67c	50$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes	34c	49.99$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.99	467	43.3%202 W · 265 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes	35c	46$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	242	33.5%81 W · 161 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes	35c	42.86$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.86	168	39.9%67 W · 101 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f55…22b9backed Yes	35c	42.57$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.67	166	63.9%106 W · 60 L	+20.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x58a7…6456backed Yes	37c	42$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.46	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…7451backed Yes	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+68.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a2…b189backed Yes	34c	41.18$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.18	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed No	62c	39.99$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	74	60.8%45 W · 29 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf621…544ebacked Yes	37c	37.84$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.84	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682e…02a8backed Yes	36c	36.11$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.11	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+153.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No	67c	36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked No	65c	34.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.44	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c1…57d1backed Yes	35c	34.29$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.29	64	42.2%27 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes	34c	33.82$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.32	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	63c	30$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No	64c	25$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	118	41.5%49 W · 69 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed No	67c	22.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	130	49.2%64 W · 66 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c08…9d34backed No	67c	21$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd4…897ebacked No	66c	20.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	129	56.6%73 W · 56 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…0c75backed Yes	72c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.7	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked No	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	214	33.2%71 W · 143 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa140…5531backed No	66c	19.7$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	127	62.2%79 W · 48 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No	62c	17.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Breel Embolo: 1+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event