Fifa International · resolved market
Breel Embolo: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2594b317f636d6d0c34716e2aebd56b54d77e67328a80dad758f49d34b4775c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Yes | 8c | 4,662$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…0812backed Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 4cpaid | +703%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc11…4b4abacked Yes | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 10.1%10 W · 89 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…ff0fbacked Yes | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +348.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e26…8991backed Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f16…780cbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Yes | 20c | 334.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 290.18$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 28c | 277$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 14c | 268.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 7c | 198.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 107.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…d20dbacked Yes | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…4be5backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 72c | 21.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsthis page
- Adil Boulbina: 3+ shotsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 2+ goalsNo won
- Amine Gouiri: 3+ shotsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Anis Hadj Moussa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsYes won
- Christian Fassnacht: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Fares Chaïbi: 1+ shotsYes won
- Fares Chaïbi: 2+ shotsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Maza: 2+ shotsYes won
- Ibrahim Maza: 3+ shotsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Noah Okafor: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Riyad Mahrez: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ruben Vargas: 1+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goalsNo won
- Zeki Amdouni: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.