TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Johan Manzambi: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,764 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5452…d448backed No75c9,508$7,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.9346464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes25c3,929$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No74c2,270$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.1637959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes25c2,089$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.379745.4%44 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No76c1,598$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.338652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c1,416$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.012,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…3399backed Yes29c1,294$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Yes24c954.95$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.6428822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Yes24c823.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…d0ecbacked Yes11c568.36$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6816927.8%47 W · 122 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes23c553.99$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d10…7075backed Yes6c550$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314537.8%17 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12531171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d30…b016backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-49.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No78c459.83$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5225454.7%139 W · 115 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No76c440.91$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed No80c425.09$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.097065.7%46 W · 24 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e26…8991backed Yes25c402.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016136%58 W · 103 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010542.9%45 W · 60 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No76c400$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9639951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Yes25c390$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.55529.1%16 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes15c308$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.281,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c300.15$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No75c280$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.233,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Yes25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes24c239.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.591,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No79c221.32$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.412,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes10c202.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9520…fa6ebacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484124.4%10 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e63…d4cbbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502548%12 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44cd…bc6dbacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3009…be46backed Yes19c188.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.922236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a0…da23backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409713.4%13 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed No76c166.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.066564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3553436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No75c131$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.737971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes24c124.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66bb…cd52backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033123.6%78 W · 253 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Yes27c110.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023142.4%98 W · 133 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x382f…4fa6backed Yes24c105.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1d…38cfbacked Yes24c102.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254022.5%9 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1512249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423950.2%120 W · 119 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Yes26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e48…10fcbacked Yes25c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54837.5%18 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6e2…2e0abacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020451.5%105 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039648.7%193 W · 203 L-23.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb81d…a695backed Yes24c81.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc67…2859backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206927.5%19 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No76c75.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159248.9%45 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00fc…0e07backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes25c52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes24c50.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.052,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd033…1ec3backed No80c50.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed No77c46.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8123960.7%145 W · 94 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Yes22c45.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1215144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No77c43.7$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.172,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6c…35e6backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ab7…6872backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013351.1%68 W · 65 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d78…f54abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…69e2backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108341%34 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb4…45d4backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015461%94 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a18…4be5backed Yes48c31.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d2e…f022backed No78c25.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64727.7%13 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2511841.5%49 W · 69 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No69c21.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6119064.2%122 W · 68 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No76c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No78c14.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.2945472.9%331 W · 123 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.