Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Alexis Galarneau
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x291d974cc72bb649a2b542fdefbaf4aff2e5a147a2381ce1e353a3ccb025c719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexis Galarneauof Facundo Acosta, Alexis Galarneau
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Alexis Galarneau | 62c | 56,361$34,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,369.3 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Facundo Acosta | 36c | 39,710$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Facundo Acosta | 35c | 12,095$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.84 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Facundo Acosta | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Facundo Acosta | 29c | 1,678$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Facundo Acosta | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Facundo Acosta | 28c | 1,219$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.05 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Alexis Galarneau | 69c | 1,111$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.47 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Facundo Acosta | 40c | 885.71$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Alexis Galarneau | 68c | 749.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Facundo Acosta | 4c | 734.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Facundo Acosta | 3c | 632.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Facundo Acosta | 9c | 534.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…85ccbacked Facundo Acosta | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Facundo Acosta | 31c | 416.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Facundo Acosta | 30c | 402.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.49 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Facundo Acosta | 33c | 365.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Facundo Acosta | 32c | 350.98$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 343.31$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Facundo Acosta | 26c | 339.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Facundo Acosta | 32c | 330$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7932…5b38backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 283.78$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 361 | 57.1%206 W · 155 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Facundo Acosta | 10c | 275$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Facundo Acosta | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…82ebbacked Facundo Acosta | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 188.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Facundo Acosta | 32c | 187.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…bacdbacked Facundo Acosta | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Facundo Acosta | 40c | 151.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Facundo Acosta | 32c | 145$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…61a0backed Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | +27.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Facundo Acosta | 25c | 113.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Facundo Acosta | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Facundo Acosta | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Facundo Acosta | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Facundo Acosta | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Alexis Galarneau | 68c | 87.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Facundo Acosta | 32c | 87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 435 | 53.1%231 W · 204 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Facundo Acosta | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Facundo Acosta | 30c | 81.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Facundo Acosta | 41c | 72.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Facundo Acosta | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Facundo Acosta | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Facundo Acosta | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Facundo Acosta | 26c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Alexis Galarneau | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Facundo Acosta | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alexis Galarneau | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…79c0backed Facundo Acosta | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Facundo Acosta | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Alexis Galarneau | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 278 | 53.2%148 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alexis Galarneau | 62c | 29.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alexis Galarneau | 59c | 26.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexis Galarneau | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Alexis Galarneau | 70c | 21.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…1e4dbacked Alexis Galarneau | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Alexis Galarneau | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Alexis Galarneauthis page
- Set Handicap: Galarneau (-1.5) vs Acosta (+1.5)Galarneau won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.