TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Oliver Tarvet vs Stefanos Sakellaridis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oliver Tarvetof Oliver Tarvet, Stefanos Sakellaridis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,903
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,903 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Stefanos Sakellaridis4c17,939$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.888,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis14c7,588$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06230642.2%129 W · 177 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Oliver Tarvet65c3,007$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.1711646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d56…2cc5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c2,495$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.071338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Oliver Tarvet67c2,466$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.094,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Oliver Tarvet64c1,951$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7054,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis29c1,853$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4514933.6%50 W · 99 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c1,142$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40070041.1%288 W · 412 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis36c1,110$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5833438.6%129 W · 205 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis19c1,055$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Oliver Tarvet65c1,027$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.493,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Oliver Tarvet80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20017149.1%84 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c999.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.652,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefanos Sakellaridis6c941$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.539,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Oliver Tarvet66c817.06$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.829649.7%147 W · 149 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Oliver Tarvet64c733.01$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.8812258.2%71 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Oliver Tarvet64c646.14$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.614,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Stefanos Sakellaridis40c599.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.997,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17528747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis36c479.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.791,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis6c465.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.941,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefanos Sakellaridis18c420.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.978,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c397.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.353,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9260…7a42backed Stefanos Sakellaridis5c351.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Oliver Tarvet66c345.05$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3259151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c339.83$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.482,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Oliver Tarvet65c310.07$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.521,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Stefanos Sakellaridis12c293$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.912,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis4c286.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9166834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c285.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10092237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Stefanos Sakellaridis36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0c0…b68ebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis7c277.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.415623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c274.98$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.231,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Stefanos Sakellaridis39c253.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c251.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Stefanos Sakellaridis16c218.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353850%19 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Oliver Tarvet61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Stefanos Sakellaridis20c197$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.051,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Oliver Tarvet64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.564350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Oliver Tarvet65c172.31$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3121856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Stefanos Sakellaridis31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis14c157.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Stefanos Sakellaridis14c148.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.111,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Oliver Tarvet68c147.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.585348.9%417 W · 436 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis18c141.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.591,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c132.81$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.482,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis37c121.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Stefanos Sakellaridis36c110.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.671,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Stefanos Sakellaridis36c108.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Oliver Tarvet68c101.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.512,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Oliver Tarvet65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.743750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03be…cd20backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c95.94$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.583641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c3…8b57backed Stefanos Sakellaridis37c94.59$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Oliver Tarvet66c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2896755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.428237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis19c80.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Oliver Tarvet66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7667852.1%353 W · 325 L-2.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis27c73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis14c72.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stefanos Sakellaridis22c68.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.862,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e6f…f8e8backed Oliver Tarvet64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Stefanos Sakellaridis23c62.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.282,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadde…ec24backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239948.5%48 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4224…31fbbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis22c58.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322138.9%86 W · 135 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Stefanos Sakellaridis35c57.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis38c52.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8231220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Oliver Tarvet65c52.07$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0731657%180 W · 136 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6819634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04f…09a7backed Oliver Tarvet64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335641.3%147 W · 209 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36cf…d3aebacked Stefanos Sakellaridis36c40.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.544946.1%207 W · 242 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Oliver Tarvet61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.622246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Oliver Tarvet70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Oliver Tarvet59c36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7655748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Stefanos Sakellaridis34c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Stefanos Sakellaridis38c33.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.948152%250 W · 231 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Oliver Tarvet62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1432726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0c41…8e65backed Oliver Tarvet64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Oliver Tarvet74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.82,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Oliver Tarvet64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Stefanos Sakellaridis35c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3583447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da3…bf1bbacked Oliver Tarvet64c28.09$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.116175.4%46 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b2…5078backed Oliver Tarvet64c25.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Oliver Tarvet65c21.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6751644.8%231 W · 285 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Oliver Tarvet67c20.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6817341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x13ff…2506backed Oliver Tarvet65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721759.4%129 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Oliver Tarvet63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.419064.7%123 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Oliver Tarvet65c18.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5714761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Oliver Tarvet60c18.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2958665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Oliver Tarvet64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6381256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe717…0710backed Oliver Tarvet64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…133cbacked Oliver Tarvet65c15.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.433158.1%18 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.