Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f9aa1dbf097558028015737dd1d9b7a4a424e9cc72f584306304529f51d70c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 56c | 2,290$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.36 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 55c | 700.57$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.99 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…d1b4backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 561.38$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.03 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Over | 45c | 511.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 505.02$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.51 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134d…b07bbacked Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 56c | 426$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.56 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f4…2d0fbacked Under | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…e094backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…0008backed Over | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Over | 43c | 249.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Under | 56c | 249.94$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.97 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 44c | 234.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.21 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 207 | 25.6%53 W · 154 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 44c | 218.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Under | 56c | 180.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Under | 55c | 162.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Over | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Under | 58c | 120.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2d…bfcbbacked Over | 44c | 114.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…78b2backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Over | 45c | 111.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 106.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 338 | 47.9%162 W · 176 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Over | 50c | 94.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 44c | 68.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…3886backed Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…938abacked Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 44c | 55.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…d137backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…cb25backed Over | 44c | 45.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Over | 41c | 40.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 43c | 30.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Under | 57c | 22.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 71.5%123 W · 49 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.