Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2965eedba3083ad3c809e02ef79c1d8e07d38ebb9db49971a9d0051ca8696b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf78d…5060backed Under | 0c | 21,692$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 14c | 4,759$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.86 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 14c | 3,526$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.93 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Under | 11c | 3,144$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.84 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 14c | 2,095$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 1,795$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 14c | 1,778$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 15c | 1,672$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 13c | 1,285$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 78c | 1,084$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.24 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 16c | 999.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5690…7a58backed Under | 12c | 850.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5a…1ac8backed Under | 12c | 398.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…91cebacked Under | 17c | 330.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…5ab3backed Under | 17c | 294.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 45.3%63 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Under | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 18c | 249.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56aa…c754backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 13c | 195.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 21c | 192.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 305 | 47.2%144 W · 161 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 21c | 175.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…2448backed Under | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 14c | 118.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…db18backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 22c | 83.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 480 | 55.2%265 W · 215 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5156…c73dbacked Over | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…5ed2backed Under | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Under | 24c | 42.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.