Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bcbde4ccd88e0b6b4d8e31fab8be3917168078fa94f2033a9fc2f792e1b488a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 71c | 8,647$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Under | 28c | 7,749$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.73 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe26e…036bbacked Over | 71c | 4,199$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.69 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…5003backed Under | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Under | 30c | 3,688$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 29c | 1,502$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.42 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 70c | 1,286$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Over | 70c | 505.5$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.65 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 30c | 458.12$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ade…9951backed Over | 70c | 348.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4216…48d8backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 29c | 215.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ede4backed Over | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Over | 70c | 176.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…8e3fbacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…8289backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…081bbacked Over | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over | 70c | 101.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 30c | 91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…d36bbacked Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Over | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 294 | 63.3%186 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…12b2backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f07…b0d3backed Over | 69c | 60.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Under | 32c | 47.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 29c | 42.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…ba7abacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c12…405dbacked Over | 68c | 34.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…0ee1backed Over | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…4859backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 69c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 69c | 27.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 70c | 26.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…56a3backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…779cbacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.