Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7882ca8b9bea3cc2384cff216fb99e3e0487cf23b21fcc55994b9103e2695f0d

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $33,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,552 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd86e…45cebacked Over	51c	8,825$4,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,298.29	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	5,637$2,732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,731.69	1,559	52.4%817 W · 742 L	+97.8wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under	51c	2,389$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.91	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Over	49c	1,720$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.2	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under	48c	1,568$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.73	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over	51c	1,562$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.87	894	43.4%388 W · 506 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under	50c	1,130$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.16	617	50.6%312 W · 305 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Under	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	154	20.8%32 W · 122 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over	52c	962.5$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.5	301	40.5%122 W · 179 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabff…9e8fbacked Over	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Over	49c	875.86$429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.69	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	52c	870$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.1	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under	49c	815.91$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.8	320	42.2%135 W · 185 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	49c	798.72$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.37	765	51.6%395 W · 370 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under	50c	750$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.5	232	51.7%120 W · 112 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Under	49c	720$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.8	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Over	53c	613.99$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.99	97	45.4%44 W · 53 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over	48c	575$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under	50c	501$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.5	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3d…85abbacked Under	51c	461.38$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.88	364	48.6%177 W · 187 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…68f6backed Over	45c	421.12$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.61	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	59cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffc…cddcbacked Over	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Over	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	311	32.2%100 W · 211 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe5…81adbacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb6…a2cdbacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Over	52c	293.5$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.88	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Under	49c	288$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.12	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under	48c	277.03$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.68	174	48.9%85 W · 89 L	+9.5wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under	52c	259.95$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.47	770	51.3%395 W · 375 L	+29.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	46c	252.18$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.63	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under	49c	249.99$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.5	1,206	50.2%606 W · 600 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Under	49c	204.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	291	41.6%121 W · 170 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	47c	202$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.94	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Over	61c	200$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79	50	78%39 W · 11 L	+9.5wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x134d…b07bbacked Over	51c	199.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…be53backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	52c	170.1$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.27	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…5d19backed Under	50c	167.68$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.84	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under	50c	157.38$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.69	324	44.1%143 W · 181 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	222	42.3%94 W · 128 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	119	39.5%47 W · 72 L	-9.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under	51c	145.26$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.59	660	56.8%375 W · 285 L	+34.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked Under	49c	141.92$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	147	45.6%67 W · 80 L	-9.6wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	47c	125.99$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.22	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86a1…63aebacked Under	48c	104.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	40%24 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76e0…960abacked Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-5.7wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under	48c	99.96$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	481	47.8%230 W · 251 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1926…7f27backed Under	50c	98$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under	53c	97.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.26	791	49.2%389 W · 402 L	+28.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Over	52c	95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+9.8wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c23…0266backed Over	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under	46c	93.98$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.28	224	52.7%118 W · 106 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Over	50c	90$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	300	60%180 W · 120 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cc…cf38backed Over	53c	85.17$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.27	136	36.8%50 W · 86 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under	58c	79.4$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.89	166	47%78 W · 88 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	50c	69.04$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.27	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba34…32b8backed Over	60c	66.22$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.22	261	51.7%135 W · 126 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…247bbacked Under	49c	61.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under	51c	60$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.87	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf8…5d40backed Over	49c	58.21$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.43	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over	59c	57.71$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.54	205	61%125 W · 80 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	287	47%135 W · 152 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d89…dc09backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	153	44.4%68 W · 85 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	30c	52.59$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.55	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	53c	45.63$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.59	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under	54c	45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under	55c	39.54$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	373	52.5%196 W · 177 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over	53c	37.74$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.74	404	35.6%144 W · 260 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over	51c	37.57$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.41	1,135	40.2%456 W · 679 L	+5.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24ad…cf9fbacked Over	53c	35.85$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.85	69	37.7%26 W · 43 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	50c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over	43c	31.78$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.14	637	45.4%289 W · 348 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Under	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	239	43.5%104 W · 135 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.85	397	52.1%207 W · 190 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Under	49c	25$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	452	54.6%247 W · 205 L	+13.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under	79c	21.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	318	53.1%169 W · 149 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa020…d807backed Over	51c	20.98$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.31	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event