Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b797b67950252702686bc824bd471721674c630991e9f7e6d721a7339dea29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 10,945$8,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Over | 18c | 3,648$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.52 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +14.5wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 24c | 2,501$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.23 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 21c | 2,451$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.73 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 26c | 1,346$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 73c | 1,205$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.18 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…f764backed Over | 28c | 890.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…17cfbacked Over | 24c | 817.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 23c | 584.77$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 23c | 543$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 23c | 543$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 23c | 543$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 26c | 508.29$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.14 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 75c | 375$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Under | 79c | 252.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 228 | 51.8%118 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over | 30c | 249.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Over | 20c | 236.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 20c | 177.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…359dbacked Over | 27c | 177.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 27c | 173.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Over | 29c | 134.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Over | 26c | 114.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 71c | 114$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…2c7abacked Over | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Over | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 26c | 62.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…3e04backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +280.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…80a9backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb9…836bbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Under | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f71…b80ebacked Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…0bfebacked Under | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 68c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 190 | 64.2%122 W · 68 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.