Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5513523a767c4f72e4054a5f5d63f735bae091f024590359af982cbf040ccaed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 31c | 3,030$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.34 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Over | 69c | 2,900$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2320…4869backed Over | 69c | 1,662$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.22 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Over | 70c | 828.93$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 30c | 694.34$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.3 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 32c | 689.71$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5805backed Over | 70c | 652.11$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 31c | 634.3$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 403$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 32c | 337$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 331$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…d01cbacked Under | 48c | 208.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.31per pick | 45cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Over | 52c | 203.63$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…9610backed Over | 70c | 187.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 33c | 171.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 32c | 164.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed Over | 69c | 156.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3fe9backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…8947backed Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 270 | 51.9%140 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…c4e1backed Over | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 239 | 51.9%124 W · 115 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…1c01backed Over | 70c | 71.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 68c | 66.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 68c | 63.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fb…e7f3backed Over | 69c | 49.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b50…c5f9backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 69c | 36.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 67c | 36.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…eb96backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…fe7ebacked Under | 48c | 31.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Over | 69c | 27.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 69c | 25.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05c…6ac6backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…e5cbbacked Over | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.