Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x972e796c9543aefb7b08b2282b352394a5421ba6736972cce7c6e74c5dcc81bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,031
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,031 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Under | 66c | 667.04$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.25 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 67c | 618.72$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.54 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 65c | 439.57$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.72 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 32c | 353.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 31c | 192.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Under | 69c | 152$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | +19.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 63c | 110.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d3…71cfbacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 89.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7668…9db2backed Over | 35c | 85.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 66c | 71.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Over | 32c | 61.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc26b…9030backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…eea7backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 48.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…fe7ebacked Under | 56c | 42.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…4188backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…082fbacked Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…5243backed Over | 46c | 32.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 55c | 23.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 249 | 47.4%118 W · 131 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 63c | 21.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…800dbacked Under | 66c | 20.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 6.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: France O/U 7.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 12.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Paraguay vs. France: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- Paraguay vs. France: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.