Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pol Martin Tiffon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8aac2230417807506e63de0d8943e8dbacefa28b57e926b4ddf12b62c5212a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, Pol Martin Tiffon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 3,261$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.32 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 33c | 2,231$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.08 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 2,068$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.36 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…5345backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 1,420$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.89 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 1,344$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.49 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 36c | 1,321$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.96 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 38c | 1,250$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 36c | 1,110$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 38c | 905.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 787.66$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 16c | 608.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 480$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 452.62$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.55 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 7c | 365.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 39c | 340.03$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.13 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 33c | 339.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 35c | 280$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 249$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 247.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 15c | 219.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 33c | 215.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 204$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 203.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 200.03$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 25c | 176.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 165$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 63c | 157.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 19c | 141.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 36c | 132.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 114.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 100.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 28c | 97.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 35c | 95.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 83.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 81.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 37c | 80.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 73.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 65.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 220 | 59.5%131 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 64c | 61.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Pol Martin Tiffon | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Pol Martin Tiffon | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 65c | 25.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3834…d360backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…d0c8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 67c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 74c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Pol Martin Tiffonthis page
- Set Handicap: Ruiz (-1.5) vs Tiffon (+1.5)Ruiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.