Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b86e2daaeb09e4d8479362571c959be91434e1a8cc078f475f4bbcaefcbb6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otto Virtanenof Luca Nardi, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Luca Nardi | 7c | 8,039$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.56 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 3,166$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.39 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luca Nardi | 10c | 2,609$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.22 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luca Nardi | 18c | 1,262$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Otto Virtanen | 72c | 1,094$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.09 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luca Nardi | 26c | 1,079$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 1,078$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Nardi | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 1,000$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.29 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Luca Nardi | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Luca Nardi | 15c | 861.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…cfe5backed Luca Nardi | 11c | 715.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…8efdbacked Luca Nardi | 3c | 642.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luca Nardi | 13c | 603.66$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 561.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Luca Nardi | 15c | 511.9$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Luca Nardi | 19c | 511.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 508.98$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Luca Nardi | 28c | 457$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Luca Nardi | 4c | 398.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3705…9677backed Luca Nardi | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 29.2%38 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Luca Nardi | 28c | 358.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Luca Nardi | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 275.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Otto Virtanen | 71c | 231$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 225$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…bf44backed Luca Nardi | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 211$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 196 | 34.2%67 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 199.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Luca Nardi | 24c | 197.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 183.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Otto Virtanen | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 158.59$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 155$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…d573backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 154.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luca Nardi | 24c | 153.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Otto Virtanen | 72c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 148.64$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luca Nardi | 27c | 147.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Luca Nardi | 16c | 144.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Otto Virtanen | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 134.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 133.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luca Nardi | 12c | 130.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 125.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Luca Nardi | 26c | 123.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 122.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Otto Virtanen | 78c | 120$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luca Nardi | 17c | 109$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 107.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 101.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Luca Nardi | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Luca Nardi | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luca Nardi | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…af9fbacked Luca Nardi | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d0…2a3abacked Luca Nardi | 16c | 95.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 164 | 37.8%62 W · 102 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Otto Virtanen | 70c | 86.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Luca Nardi | 26c | 74.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Luca Nardi | 21c | 70.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luca Nardi | 20c | 62.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Otto Virtanen | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Luca Nardi | 27c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Otto Virtanen | 79c | 56.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Luca Nardi | 27c | 51.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Otto Virtanen | 72c | 48.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Luca Nardi | 27c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 40.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Luca Nardi | 29c | 40.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…5ccabacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 38.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Luca Nardi | 29c | 37.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Otto Virtanen | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Otto Virtanen | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Otto Virtanen | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 304 | 36.8%112 W · 192 L | -19.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Otto Virtanen | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…31ecbacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…0710backed Otto Virtanen | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3a…94aabacked Otto Virtanen | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Otto Virtanen | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Otto Virtanen | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 190 | 64.7%123 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nardi vs VirtanenVirtanen won
- Set 2 Winner: Nardi vs VirtanenVirtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.