MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0a6b1d283350acd533ac3cc0dc8b7235c973902187048897e5b6243c615a41c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 10,479$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.92 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 46c | 9,073$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,173.71 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 7,551$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 63c | 5,132$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.72 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 4,073$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.17 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 63c | 2,101$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 39c | 1,835$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.4 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +236.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 39c | 1,296$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.5 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 47c | 1,111$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.17 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 50c | 1,074$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.41 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 53c | 1,022$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.91 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 54c | 1,018$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.07 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 53c | 996.94$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.95 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 46c | 942.72$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.07 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 705.22$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.4 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 696.3$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.35 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 53c | 612$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.64 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 49c | 540.53$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.86 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 359.95$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.83 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 337$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.5 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa8…ea63backed Over | 51c | 330.68$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 34c | 326.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.42 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 28c | 310.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 301.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 411 | 41.4%170 W · 241 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 179.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 46c | 175.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 50c | 174.96$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Over | 47c | 170.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 54c | 152.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 396 | 53.5%212 W · 184 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 36c | 138.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 36c | 113.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 549 | 51.2%281 W · 268 L | +29.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46ba…8507backed Over | 51c | 111.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 47c | 101.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 51c | 95.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over | 36c | 93.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under | 43c | 58.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 37c | 50.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 47c | 44.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 60c | 42.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 55.1%129 W · 105 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 54c | 39.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…28ffbacked Over | 48c | 39.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 39.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…06b3backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Under | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 51c | 34.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 47c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 64c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69f…ffeebacked Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 47c | 26.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 47c | 23.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Under | 54c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 54c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5this page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.