TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c10,479$6,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,160.928,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over46c9,073$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,173.7155253.1%293 W · 259 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over37c7,551$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,793.0712,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under63c5,132$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.7211,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over48c4,073$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.174,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c2,101$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.7210,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Under39c1,835$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.418959.8%113 W · 76 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+236.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over39c1,296$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over47c1,111$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.1787453%463 W · 411 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under50c1,074$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.413,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Over53c1,022$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.9171850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under54c1,018$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.072,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under53c996.94$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.952,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Under46c942.72$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.071,13942.7%486 W · 653 L+11.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under54c705.22$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.44,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c696.3$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.356,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under53c612$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.6449358.8%290 W · 203 L+30.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28875248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over49c540.53$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8629147.1%137 W · 154 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c359.95$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.834,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c337$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.51,07848.1%518 W · 560 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa8…ea63backed Over51c330.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.041338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over34c326.58$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.425,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Over28c310.72$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.871,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over47c301.91$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.941141.4%170 W · 241 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1388,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038252.1%199 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c179.98$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.392,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Under46c175.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.876558%444 W · 321 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under50c174.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.932,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked Over47c170.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9917250.6%87 W · 85 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under54c152.45$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1365749.2%323 W · 334 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Over48c143.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6939653.5%212 W · 184 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Over36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over36c138.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9590446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over36c113.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4147549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over36c113.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4154951.2%281 W · 268 L+29.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46ba…8507backed Over51c111.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700b…8d0bbacked Over47c101.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.658944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4912339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5173849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb68c…7ef8backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over51c95.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9519954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over36c93.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7247552.4%249 W · 226 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over36c91.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331343.5%136 W · 177 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Over36c91.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3316144.1%71 W · 90 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over31c72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-49%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under49c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.74,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787b…86c3backed Under52c64$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.847243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.213,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.21,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fe3…a9f7backed Under43c58.26$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.266053.3%32 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over37c50.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6558254.3%316 W · 266 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.952,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Over51c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9915143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over47c44.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Under60c42.47$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.834,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over50c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125356.9%144 W · 109 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x193a…2b55backed Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023455.1%129 W · 105 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.877836%280 W · 498 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.644945.9%206 W · 243 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Over31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.49047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6f…f8e8backed Under54c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under54c39.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3488…28ffbacked Over48c39.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c39.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.065,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f53…06b3backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Under53c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0423435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8652852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Over51c34.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7125448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.91,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over47c32.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3160049.3%296 W · 304 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Under64c31.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0824742.9%106 W · 141 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.282741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69f…ffeebacked Under43c27.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.912254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over47c26.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3640554.8%222 W · 183 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over47c23.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9654152.1%282 W · 259 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4228…b838backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.63250%16 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324448.8%119 W · 125 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under52c19.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1517255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Under54c18.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6822151.6%114 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under54c18.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5812541.6%52 W · 73 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.