MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4bb12cb5222683ea5cab59484b97304a5e5e353ecde8d3a328d3cedff68e1bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Arizona Diamondbacks, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 35c | 25,182$8,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,885.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 15,666$9,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,394.92 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 15,046$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.66 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 13,644$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.86 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 6,167$4,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.12 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 6,114$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 5,530$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.7 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 26c | 4,573$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 4,466$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,836$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.87 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…5054backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 55c | 3,466$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 38c | 3,382$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.16 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 3,323$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 2,060$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.23 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,866$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.31 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,772$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.39 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,625$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…6b74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 1,601$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 1,289$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,161$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.96 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 1,126$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,031$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.77 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 987.39$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.45 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 981.41$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.46 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 843.79$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.39 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 809$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.96 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…053abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 708.78$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…15fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 699.97$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.99 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 571$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.24 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 6c | 503.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -8.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 498.07$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.96 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 477.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 477.27$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 433.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 20c | 427.61$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.55 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…a848backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 426.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 409.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…27d8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 399.87$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 396.55$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.55 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 376$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 300 | 40.7%122 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 355$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 350.98$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.44 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 7c | 333.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…2cd9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 314.34$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 300$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 298.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 274.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.23 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 40c | 259.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 255.02$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 255$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 945 | 55.2%522 W · 423 L | +31.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 249$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 247$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 243.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 232.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 224.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 213.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 8c | 196.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 192.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 12c | 166.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 126.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 221 | 54.3%120 W · 101 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…14d8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 126.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 124.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 123.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 122.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 10c | 118.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 369 | 32.8%121 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 112.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 111.23$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 102.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c8…b64bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 46c | 102.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 101.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 100.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x697c…0b87backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…1fafbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.