UFC · resolved market
O/U 1.5 Rounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a197e4958ec49bec33354628a05c4636c2ae0ab639e4bd32b1654f202ec2d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 48c | 69,424$33,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,101.04 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 52c | 24,306$12,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,639.12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Over | 52c | 19,460$10,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,119.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Under | 51c | 19,372$9,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,483.87 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 17,969$8,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,904.69 | 203 | 48.3%98 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…d417backed Over | 52c | 9,656$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Under | 49c | 4,929$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.7 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Over | 52c | 3,139$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,703$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.37 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Over | 52c | 1,385$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.97 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Under | 49c | 850.39$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…abc0backed Over | 52c | 783.21$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Over | 51c | 599.91$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.95 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Under | 50c | 434.08$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Over | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Over | 52c | 369.31$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 54c | 367.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 322.38$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.19 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Over | 39c | 321.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 319.03$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.92 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 52c | 296.12$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 51c | 262$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 52c | 259.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Over | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Over | 52c | 213.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…d289backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Over | 52c | 191.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Over | 50c | 191.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…3300backed Over | 52c | 170.71$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…42dfbacked Under | 50c | 160.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.16 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…9cc5backed Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9608…8cf3backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 49c | 113.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 51c | 107.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…1ad3backed Over | 52c | 99.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…8e38backed Under | 50c | 95.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…ed90backed Over | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 52c | 61.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Over | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eec…9c1abacked Over | 52c | 57.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa7…8332backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 49c | 43.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Over | 52c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2b55backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f19…77e3backed Under | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 52c | 32.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 49c | 30.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…21dcbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76d…145abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 51c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…de53backed Over | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ba…4390backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…673ebacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e829backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…362bbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…fa08backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…2613backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…cae2backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…5a8fbacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…1eb5backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Over | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…ee63backed Over | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…6fe4backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f2…9a13backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aef…4bc4backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 48 | 79.2%38 W · 10 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 1.5 Roundsthis page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- UFC Fight Night: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)Abus Magomedov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.