Mls · resolved market

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aeeef0f4101cb3a5a907bf0ac76a5c2fab071e1f0b2face0018a90d0a9e8772

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $321,868
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $322,502

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,868 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed No	58c	195,013$113,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,485.96	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked Yes	42c	31,055$12,891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,890.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	47c	20,171$9,477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,476.53	333	46.8%156 W · 177 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed No	58c	18,796$10,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,894.19	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	42c	18,074$7,536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,536.45	530	40.6%215 W · 315 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes	40c	15,908$6,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,363.2	238	58%138 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Yes	40c	14,668$5,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,867.04	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes	41c	14,307$5,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,847.58	57	43.9%25 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	60c	13,662$8,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,464.87	228	41.7%95 W · 133 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,000	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	41c	9,621$3,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,932.31	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes	44c	9,558$4,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,213.11	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+56.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes	40c	8,000$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.30per pick	47cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes	41c	7,317$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+29%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No	56c	7,291$4,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,207.01	714	43.7%312 W · 402 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf78b…3a8abacked Yes	42c	7,006$2,943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,942.59	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes	41c	6,622$2,715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,714.87	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes	49c	6,124$3,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000.76	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+22%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Yes	41c	6,071$2,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,489.03	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-39%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Yes	41c	5,566$2,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,282.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes	40c	5,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes	44c	4,444$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.36	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No	59c	4,292$2,533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,759.91	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes	40c	4,259$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.59	728	50.7%369 W · 359 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes	41c	4,251$1,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,752.72	200	43%86 W · 114 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes	40c	4,045$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620.41	681	50.8%346 W · 335 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes	40c	3,594$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,437.6	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	40c	3,500$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	263	45.2%119 W · 144 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Yes	39c	2,929$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes	42c	2,413$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.55	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-4.8wins	-0.25per pick	52cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	41c	2,393$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.16	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No	59c	2,300$1,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$943	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	49c	2,111$1,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,034.38	328	48.8%160 W · 168 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	51c	2,084$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.05	1,270	48%610 W · 660 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	20c	1,837$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.68	1,444	36.8%532 W · 912 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	41c	1,764$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.25	734	38.1%280 W · 454 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes	41c	1,600$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-3.6wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes	41c	1,555$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.5	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes	40c	1,548$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.2	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	61c	1,529$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.52	989	45.4%449 W · 540 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes	40c	1,524$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.46	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	42c	1,522$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.22	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No	62c	1,479$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.63	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-2.7wins	-0.24per pick	70cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes	42c	1,361$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.99	1,262	45.2%571 W · 691 L	-28.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No	76c	1,340$1,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.27	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.4wins	+0.19per pick	59cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	42c	1,312$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	104	50%52 W · 52 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes	36c	1,139$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	41	36.6%15 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	11.9%5 W · 37 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes	49c	1,091$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.21	139	52.5%73 W · 66 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes	42c	1,024$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.08	270	47%127 W · 143 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d75…3d44backed Yes	43c	989$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.27	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes	42c	960.12$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes	42c	903.79$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.59	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.35per pick	50cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked No	59c	800$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Yes	44c	797.27$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.35	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	41c	781$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.79	394	35.8%141 W · 253 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba4…69fbbacked No	55c	744.72$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes	9c	739$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.38	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	41c	670.9$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.07	702	49.7%349 W · 353 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes	24c	627$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.06	304	44.1%134 W · 170 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes	41c	600$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-3.3wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	33c	576.2$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.75	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes	40c	573.9$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.29	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes	42c	565$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.55	351	49.6%174 W · 177 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes	38c	534.95$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.28	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	0%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes	42c	532.26$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.55	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No	77c	527.04$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.75	256	52.3%134 W · 122 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Yes	40c	510$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.13per pick	55cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes	34c	444.08$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x389d…83dfbacked Yes	44c	418.2$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Yes	41c	417.56$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Yes	24c	411.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	60c	401.17$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$162.41	783	44.4%348 W · 435 L	-30.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes	42c	382.04$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.61	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes	33c	371.42$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.77	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes	41c	365.85$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ae…658dbacked Yes	47c	361.7$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	58cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	52c	348$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.84	923	46.6%430 W · 493 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed No	59c	338.98$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	39c	336.66$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.39	352	47.7%168 W · 184 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No	64c	284$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.15	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes	42c	284$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.26	1,301	51.2%666 W · 635 L	-19.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No	78c	278$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.14	314	46.5%146 W · 168 L	-10.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked No	56c	277.81$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.31	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes	41c	274$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.03	429	47.1%202 W · 227 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	41c	273.13$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.51	993	40.1%398 W · 595 L	+11.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	35c	250.89$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.81	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…f09ebacked Yes	17c	247.35$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6575…c2c7backed Yes	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Yes	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.4wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefd6…ca34backed Yes	42c	238.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes	41c	234.15$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed Yes	45c	223.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes	41c	214.63$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No	79c	212.66$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.12	177	53.1%94 W · 83 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-22%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…e2e8backed Yes	43c	210$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No	57c	206.82$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.77	198	47.5%94 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?this page
Will CF Montréal vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?Yes won
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-16?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event