Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248d85cbdc7d9c74cfd850c21bd05225601c540a03c53ce1c87151ffdc3a3148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 1,794$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.64 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 21c | 1,747$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 35c | 1,031$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 571.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 76c | 563.77$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 27c | 562.21$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 39c | 539.19$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 40c | 478.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.08 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 68c | 477.58$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked No | 67c | 432.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 36c | 405.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 38c | 400$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 365.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 356.5$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 24c | 344.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…661abacked Yes | 29c | 332.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 74c | 331$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 61c | 277.02$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 272.15$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.57 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 256.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 29c | 234.84$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…92d7backed No | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 20c | 201$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 183.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 26c | 181.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 37c | 181.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 177.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 62c | 157.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 51c | 155.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 65c | 154.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 74c | 147.56$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 124.69$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 65c | 123.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 19c | 121$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 76c | 113.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 34c | 111.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 18c | 109.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Yes | 46c | 98.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 70c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 80c | 94.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Yes | 20c | 93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 85.3$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 37c | 83.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Yes | 26c | 77.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 20c | 74.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Yes | 23c | 73.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 69c | 67.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 63c | 66.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 29c | 62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 61.41$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 52c | 60.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked No | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 46.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 77c | 40.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…fcabbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 77c | 38.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 63c | 32.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 25.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 60c | 23.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 63c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 20.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 75c | 20.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed No | 74c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed No | 73c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.