Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2825b3cf4008295a66f98f1f75b4a8a75d2aa0bec365452fd8768ef39f23cb16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed No | 68c | 21,908$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,908.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 32c | 3,972$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.38 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 2,472$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 2,364$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.82 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 32c | 1,700$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 1,458$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.38 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 1,286$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,219$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 32c | 1,176$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,096$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 895.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 41c | 730.32$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.38 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 32c | 674$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 39c | 449.7$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.16 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 38c | 395.21$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 55c | 350.87$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 74c | 348.85$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 75c | 335$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 69c | 322.78$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 63c | 262.11$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 252$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 31c | 249.12$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.23 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 47c | 245.35$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 243.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 32c | 224.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 55c | 182.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 44c | 169.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7be6…5ab8backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 51c | 150.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Yes | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 55c | 130.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 54c | 126.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 125.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 40c | 119.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 37c | 107.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 17c | 99.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 55c | 99.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 39c | 94.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yes | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 74c | 75.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Yes | 36c | 70.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 70.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…fe99backed No | 69c | 68.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 54c | 68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 69c | 67.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 79c | 67.38$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked No | 70c | 67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 26c | 64.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 50c | 61.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed No | 75c | 61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 58c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 28c | 53.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 53.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 49.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b815backed No | 50c | 40.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 32c | 39.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 69c | 39.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Yes | 64c | 34.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055c…6a54backed Yes | 58c | 34.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed No | 42c | 29.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 25.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked No | 69c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes | 64c | 20.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…331cbacked No | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 67c | 15.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Incheon United FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.