Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc511d94376c0a893d3aadb431e7544768e90290d43875ad38d8f7cee985f94d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 2,697$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 1,681$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.34 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked No | 57c | 1,523$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.71 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 1,404$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.53 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 1,202$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 52c | 456$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 424.36$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 53c | 399.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e92…5280backed Yes | 34c | 342.92$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed No | 54c | 323.33$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 307.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 43c | 288.81$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 6c | 275.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…1478backed Yes | 21c | 269.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 266.17$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked No | 53c | 226.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 208.66$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 44c | 190.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 45c | 162$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 44c | 149.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…ae5fbacked Yes | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 45c | 125.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 10c | 122.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 11c | 119.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes | 23c | 98.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Yes | 23c | 64.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 60.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 46c | 49.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 46c | 42.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 45c | 37.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…b796backed No | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…4a4abacked No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 56c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed No | 76c | 32.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 44c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 76c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 77c | 19.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 76c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-12?Yes won
- Will Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.