Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f235a275ce7acb35ed6417ad688e34a3c455adc84f9d10966bf5663e6aef3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 14c | 5,300$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 3,286$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Yes | 61c | 2,824$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 1,286$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 1,266$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.27 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,232$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.09 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 77c | 1,145$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,044$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.33 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 18c | 949.97$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 39c | 906.41$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.91 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked No | 80c | 587.89$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 19c | 527.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c17…2c8bbacked Yes | 2c | 501.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 68c | 436.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes | 20c | 426.89$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 24c | 328.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked No | 42c | 219.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 43c | 210.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 79c | 202.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 39c | 164$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.04 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 26c | 159$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 139.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Yes | 22c | 129.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 124$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 16c | 123.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…91f4backed Yes | 20c | 92.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 57c | 92.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 70c | 83.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 54c | 78.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 15c | 68.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…c29fbacked Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 60.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 49c | 56.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 31c | 51.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 21c | 47.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 25c | 45.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b1…6322backed No | 79c | 40.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 78c | 36.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 32.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 59c | 23.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes | 61c | 20.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?No won
- Will St Johnstone FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.