Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dff8d946b2f54010ba20bb51066fe8e6fda0a6062a1c057cb1553f103a3eb99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 3,683$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.38 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 2,983$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.78 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 2,792$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.56 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 31c | 2,508$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.38 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 2,236$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.23 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 70c | 2,206$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.66 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 75c | 613$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 25c | 513$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 470.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 31c | 464.52$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 61c | 348.95$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.86 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 24c | 162.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 29c | 137.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 21c | 119$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed No | 78c | 115.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 112.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 70c | 104.95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 82.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 30c | 79.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 55c | 70.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 68.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 31c | 63.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 32c | 63.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Yes | 47c | 57.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 61c | 54.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 61c | 52.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 49.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 75c | 48.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 56c | 46.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 70c | 44.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 36c | 42.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 39.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 26c | 38.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 70c | 29.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 61c | 25.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 69c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.