Asian League · resolved market
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa675aeae5a93aaa17e9848623ae44c0f9e4d1dd8155920d6f5c5ae9e34184b35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 58c | 16,140$9,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.82 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 40c | 15,794$6,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,317.65 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Yes | 56c | 13,223$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked No | 43c | 12,700$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 60c | 8,333$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 53c | 6,173$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,901.19 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 5,064$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.09 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 40c | 4,489$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed No | 41c | 3,501$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 45c | 3,283$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 60c | 2,595$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.61 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.95 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…308abacked Yes | 44c | 1,918$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 1,716$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 1,326$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.75 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 62c | 1,203$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 1,184$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.32 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 60c | 815.1$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 601$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed No | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 60c | 422$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.79 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 411.64$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 376$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.72 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 49c | 317.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed No | 41c | 315.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 57c | 289.47$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 53c | 276$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 169 | 29%49 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 51c | 245.35$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…1c13backed No | 42c | 239.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 48c | 221.96$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 41c | 221.04$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed Yes | 57c | 218.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 40c | 198.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed No | 44c | 195.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 192.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 46c | 181$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 44c | 144.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked No | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…63a5backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 54c | 97.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 15c | 95.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed No | 56c | 90.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 31c | 87.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 61c | 85.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked No | 41c | 78.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 54c | 77.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Yes | 55c | 70.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 56c | 65.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 62.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 43c | 54.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 53c | 47.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Yes | 61c | 45.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 53c | 44.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 53c | 38.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…56b1backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 44c | 34.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…f4adbacked No | 51c | 31.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 52c | 30.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 44c | 29.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…c310backed Yes | 57c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…bea1backed Yes | 57c | 25.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 25.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Yes | 50c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Yes | 55c | 23.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 49c | 23.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 49c | 22.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Yes | 57c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 64c | 18.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Fagiano Okayama vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw?No won
- Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.