TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Yes48c23,983$11,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,406.2675542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No37c16,540$6,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,113.691735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes70c14,648$10,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.2413742.3%58 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No63c14,295$9,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,055.4795332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb6…8b20backed Yes25c11,917$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+253.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No62c10,670$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.481234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No34c9,728$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,280.072231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c7,739$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,382.834,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes29c7,634$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,398.2716237.7%61 W · 101 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No36c6,352$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.661250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked No67c6,035$4,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,053.191163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c5,853$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,107.0623350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c5,286$4,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.626,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes39c3,110$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick32cpaid+138.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed No71c3,000$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1303737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes70c2,979$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.299141.8%38 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No35c2,614$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes65c2,241$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.354953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes67c2,128$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Yes64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No72c1,808$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.831,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No30c1,653$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8930…db72backed Yes38c1,302$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c1,200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No29c1,149$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.337048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes60c1,106$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9945249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No29c1,058$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9996443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No35c1,022$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.252259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Yes72c1,002$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.521353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes64c993.49$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.562,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No29c919.54$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.676142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No10c872.66$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0796445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes49c832.4$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.211,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No5c789.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.166038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No8c653.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.165429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed No33c645.26$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.241936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x337d…1968backed No36c522.39$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No37c506.02$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.231275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes27c401.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.942853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1247959.5%47 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes36c387$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.77520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes29c339.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes64c333.33$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No31c323.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.243043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No77c316.25$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.529358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No12c304.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9741243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No9c303$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No35c298.08$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.331,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes35c293$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.455646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No30c286.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9269651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No10c280.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.720041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No77c266.35$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.949660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes38c263.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Yes32c249.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.84944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Yes23c243.47$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+68.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2387…adadbacked Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.228229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No29c210.54$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c208.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.261,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No8c208.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2911555.7%64 W · 51 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6214355.9%80 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15018928%53 W · 136 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes34c197.06$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes51c195$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.962885.7%24 W · 4 L+7.2wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+45.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes65c194.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3958446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c191.86$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7353344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes65c184.62$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6222156.1%124 W · 97 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No8c183.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.145856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No28c181.81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.915763.2%36 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc1…99bbbacked No36c179.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+73.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked No26c174.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.232642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes67c171$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.436544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked No9c160.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.92128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.797950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes64c142.43$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.771,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes56c141.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.733452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No29c141.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5232951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Yes64c138.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No77c138$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7828443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x391b…cf3ebacked No37c132$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes44c128.46$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.941533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Yes59c121.95$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed No41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes65c121.69$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No12c120$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Yes42c119.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+58.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes63c115.19$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6215740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No53c114.48$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.163228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7345…4b28backed Yes69c108.81$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.73540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick69cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Yes69c108.7$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.74468.2%30 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No28c108$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.561,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2910543.8%46 W · 59 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Yes19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703548.6%17 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.887032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.