Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586b0c011e28d5255f4ff3b088818e6a0f7dc0458a33fceecb886719571c49a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 11,104$6,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,267.52 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 8,254$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 61c | 7,866$4,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764.51 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 44c | 5,419$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.31 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 60c | 4,987$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,989.65 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 44c | 3,085$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,639$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes | 31c | 1,545$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 1,347$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.25 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 55c | 909.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed No | 79c | 661.37$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked No | 69c | 644.25$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 45c | 533.33$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 2c | 502.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 48c | 408.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 3c | 335.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 196.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes | 32c | 193.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 52c | 190.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 149.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 52c | 146.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.12 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 141.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 16c | 134.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 104.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 51c | 99.8$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 18c | 98.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 30c | 93.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 20c | 92.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 46c | 91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 74c | 89.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 73c | 87.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 29c | 69.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 20c | 65.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 65.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 23c | 63.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 45c | 58.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 43c | 39.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Yes | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 52c | 34.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 58c | 32.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 67c | 25.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed No | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 80c | 20.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…54c0backed No | 79c | 17.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Yes | 63c | 17.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.