Premier League · resolved market
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4395d389d7db38887d5f5a0d4243202609d9327d491db1611f2b2995bdaac4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 14,053$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.31 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…7ec7backed Yes | 10c | 11,347$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 6,566$4,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.18 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 80c | 4,215$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +241.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked No | 53c | 2,499$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.74 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 1,861$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.81 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 21c | 1,536$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.51 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 21c | 1,528$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 1,368$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.15 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 55c | 1,318$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 24c | 1,130$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.59 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…7400backed Yes | 11c | 978$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 44c | 897.86$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 12c | 889$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Yes | 5c | 776.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 8c | 703.29$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 5c | 644.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 11c | 405.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 62c | 340$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.9 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 319.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 20c | 292.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 69c | 291.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 10c | 247.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…44b2backed Yes | 41c | 242.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 44c | 218.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 8c | 199.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 36c | 196$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 157.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 10c | 157.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 9c | 152.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 145.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…78b0backed Yes | 13c | 143.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 20c | 133.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 25c | 129.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 19c | 106.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dee…30b1backed Yes | 11c | 97.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 50c | 91.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9299…8f9cbacked Yes | 24c | 84.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 41c | 79.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 18c | 76.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 71.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 43c | 64.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed Yes | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 62c | 49.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 43c | 43.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 68c | 37.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 30.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 44c | 26.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.