Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7ab254e972bc9006decf4eaaac866ff5cfaa96b49cdac72fcb198f8bfac4f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8eb5…8588backed Yes | 0c | 50,215$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 14c | 9,054$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.98 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…45f6backed No | 76c | 1,075$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 13c | 799.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 740.73$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 79c | 507.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd458…1acbbacked Yes | 25c | 401.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 18c | 391.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 17c | 353.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 31c | 332.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 26c | 238.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 235.83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 29c | 221.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.81 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 75c | 216$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 25c | 146.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 70c | 140.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…980bbacked Yes | 28c | 134.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…8c9dbacked Yes | 14c | 129.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 69c | 124.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 78c | 111.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 10c | 109.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf5…1b80backed Yes | 25c | 101$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 26c | 85.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 75c | 83.31$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 69.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 59.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0598…3d83backed Yes | 25c | 59.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 17c | 59.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337d…1968backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 79c | 35.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 31.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 76c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 24.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 75c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Malmo FF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?this page
- Will IF Elfsborg win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
- Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.