TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Daejeon Hana Citizen FCof Daejeon Hana Citizen FC, Gwangju FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Gwangju FC65c15,348$10,000 inLost-$10,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c4,000$1,380 inWon+$2,6201,72550.6%873 W · 852 L+28.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c2,990$1,037 inWon+$1,952.947749.4%38 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c2,173$750 inWon+$1,423.4729432%94 W · 200 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC36c2,074$747 inWon+$1,326.982,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC36c1,123$404 inWon+$718.725,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c735$250 inWon+$485.11,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c588.23$200 inWon+$388.234136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC36c424.47$151 inWon+$273.2970842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Gwangju FC63c336$212 inLost-$211.682433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC15c209.37$31 inWon+$178.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+54.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c185.07$63 inWon+$122.156845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c179$63 inWon+$115.591,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC32c167.15$53 inWon+$113.932,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c166$58 inWon+$107.99747.4%46 W · 51 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC26c164.27$43 inWon+$121.5637559.2%222 W · 153 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c160.68$56 inWon+$104.444452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gwangju FC63c148.8$94 inLost-$94.061,44335.3%509 W · 934 L-36.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c136.81$47 inWon+$90.2947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC34c100$34 inWon+$6642351.3%217 W · 206 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC36c99.56$36 inWon+$63.9112956.6%73 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x337d…1968backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC38c92.11$35 inWon+$57.111650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC38c78.95$30 inWon+$48.958941.6%37 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC35c69$24 inWon+$44.8520256.4%114 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c65.54$24 inWon+$41.2919261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c62.19$23 inWon+$39.1813246.2%61 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c46.76$17 inWon+$29.466533.8%22 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC27c45.09$12 inWon+$32.9213051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c45.08$17 inWon+$28.424061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC37c43.7$16 inWon+$27.5323859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Gwangju FC62c38.71$24 inLost-$2415352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5953…192fbacked Gwangju FC63c30.56$19 inLost-$19.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-57.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Daejeon Hana Citizen FC53c19.99$10 inWon+$9.491361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.