Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b3c98eff498f830ed1271304296a03a6ce5ea058cfd71210daa997eb9a4da6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 7c | 1,440$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 65c | 1,100$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.35 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 58c | 1,055$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.83 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 35c | 666.11$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 473.87$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.95 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 73c | 443.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Under | 7c | 431$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 44c | 297.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.69 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 230.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 26c | 204.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 196.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 27c | 68.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 49c | 57.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 32c | 54.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 34.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.