Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbde3738eecbed11ed655c0b660d67dfea4260299ae1ec0ebf6a52f565aeefc9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x611a…ced8backed Over | 78c | 3,206$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 60c | 2,539$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.21 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 22c | 1,136$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 40c | 723.02$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 533.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.46 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 38c | 481.89$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 450.76$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 75c | 424.57$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Under | 78c | 404.34$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 67c | 297.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 247.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 35c | 230.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 22c | 194.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 29c | 129.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.73 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 23c | 124$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 123$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Under | 69c | 101.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 35c | 90.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 86.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Over | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Under | 71c | 75.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 50c | 69.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Under | 23c | 62.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 25c | 60.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 40c | 45.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 29c | 40.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…ca8fbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 35.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 49c | 34.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Under | 62c | 32.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 49c | 31.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 49c | 31.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3aa…ab99backed Under | 76c | 31.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 44c | 30.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0bd8backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 38c | 28.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 75c | 23.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 49c | 22.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.