Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fb35ec547e94c2d406e4eac49f7f212ec269b0302a08704239227a738e1d7ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 19,934$10,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,738.49 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 46c | 11,462$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,189.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 1,482$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.96 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 871.47$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.47 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 838$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.52 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 683.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 8c | 673.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Under | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 328.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 47c | 319.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.14 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 46c | 271$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 53c | 258.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 43 | 76.7%33 W · 10 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Under | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 48c | 203.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 8c | 190.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 9c | 175$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 48c | 161.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Over | 54c | 149.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 52c | 135.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 121.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 47c | 106.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Under | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 321 | 54.2%174 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 69.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 64.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 48c | 57.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 60c | 56.75$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 48c | 54.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 46c | 50.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 53c | 50.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 48c | 49.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 36.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 46c | 35.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 46c | 32.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 48c | 31.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Under | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 47c | 30.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.