Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80d0cf2dffe24bb7deab7431e590d367fadfa6f33b8afb9b10baa45e6d919a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 23c | 3,997$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.93 | 108 | 25%27 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 3,555$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.8 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 3,331$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 63c | 2,538$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.73 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,768$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,233$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.19 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,160$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.93 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 408.79$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.43 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e6…3718backed Yes | 29c | 349.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 72c | 347$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.16 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 21c | 316.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 50c | 167.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 47c | 154.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 46c | 154.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 51c | 152.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b872backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 120.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 52c | 118$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 94.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 94.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 57c | 86.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 72c | 85.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 52c | 84.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 70.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 63c | 67.47$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 48c | 66.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 60.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…01e3backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 46.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Yes | 50c | 44.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 65c | 41.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 79c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 39.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 51c | 37.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 50c | 36.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 33.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…236dbacked No | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 30.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 55c | 28.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 60c | 27.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 26.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 72c | 23.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 71c | 21.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked No | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 61c | 19.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.