South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd971a5b2c266c52ee40eaf1c9d43380b828335eaa88664cb805ac0445339b92f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed No | 34c | 7,648$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 78c | 5,483$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,285.71 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 4,984$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,134$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,183.18 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed No | 45c | 3,989$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.91 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 62c | 3,802$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.33 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…43afbacked No | 42c | 3,739$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +287.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 61c | 3,654$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.8 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 3,591$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.23 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed Yes | 59c | 3,470$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.58 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 22c | 2,707$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.49 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 53c | 2,185$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.69 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed No | 4c | 2,083$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb6…8b20backed No | 25c | 1,582$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.06 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked No | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 40c | 1,008$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.04 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 68c | 975.95$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.95 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 58c | 920.11$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.15 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…b7b3backed Yes | 56c | 896.9$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 27c | 510.38$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.87 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 78c | 488.35$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.79 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 463.19$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 24c | 458.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes | 53c | 438.59$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 59c | 410.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 22c | 399.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed No | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 365$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…9ff4backed No | 47c | 347.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 37c | 322.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.51 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 321.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 28c | 312$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 80c | 296.46$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed No | 37c | 296.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 32c | 283.41$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 8c | 252$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 24c | 244.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 37c | 224.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 20c | 209.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked No | 17c | 205.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 26c | 192.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 39c | 182.52$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 69c | 180.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 38c | 175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked No | 34c | 173.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 22c | 155.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 78c | 138.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 25c | 132.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 61c | 131.14$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed No | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2ed6backed Yes | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 108.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 26c | 106.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked No | 76c | 105.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 31c | 99.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 46c | 92.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 38c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 45c | 82.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 21c | 68.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed Yes | 76c | 65.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 68c | 65.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 61.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked No | 34c | 52.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 68c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed No | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Yes | 69c | 39.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e31…d5fdbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…29f8backed Yes | 79c | 37.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 40c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Yes | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked No | 74c | 29.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 66c | 27.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…c687backed Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Yes | 64c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 76c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 77c | 17.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Yes | 75c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…eacabacked Yes | 69c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.