South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d01509944d02fd00407391559f6b6fae7fc44d17c062e91c613aec7bbe531fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0cbe…1f4ebacked No | 55c | 120,558$65,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,560.67 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.6wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 26,228$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,770.49 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 45c | 12,268$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 45c | 9,198$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.1 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 59c | 8,526$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.83 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 45c | 7,234$3,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,255.3 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 6,897$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.38 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Yes | 45c | 5,171$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.9 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 46c | 5,140$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.69 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 4,678$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.07 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 4,504$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.94 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 43c | 3,629$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.42 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 14c | 3,590$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 45c | 3,213$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 2,177$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.18 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 40c | 2,002$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.08 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 47c | 1,557$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.39 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 1,309$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 25c | 1,266$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.59 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…dcf1backed No | 51c | 1,213$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 46c | 1,201$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.45 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes | 37c | 1,092$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Yes | 40c | 1,080$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.35 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…67c2backed No | 59c | 924.56$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Yes | 45c | 869.56$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 46c | 817.86$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 3c | 806.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 45c | 783.76$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 45c | 739.6$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.82 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 45c | 685.62$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.53 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 46c | 678.42$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf071…04d6backed Yes | 48c | 640$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 75c | 632.83$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 47c | 587.78$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.54 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 578.25$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 45c | 555.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed No | 51c | 525$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 5c | 476.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 35c | 422.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.73 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 412$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.21 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf484…e79cbacked Yes | 46c | 392.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 9c | 382.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 40c | 381.56$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 45c | 360.4$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 9c | 358.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…8d7abacked No | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 58c | 329.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked No | 31c | 317.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 45c | 316.87$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.59 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 41c | 274.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.06 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 45c | 269$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 45c | 256.87$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.59 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 70c | 243.22$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.26 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…f166backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 45c | 218$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 45c | 218$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc13…cbcabacked Yes | 15c | 198$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Yes | 45c | 188.36$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 13c | 186.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 24c | 183.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 182.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.05 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 169.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…e11ebacked No | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…fc37backed No | 53c | 157.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Yes | 45c | 155$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 45c | 152.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 38c | 147.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 60c | 146$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 57c | 140.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 48c | 140$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 45c | 139.2$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 49c | 138.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 10c | 135.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Yes | 46c | 108.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 106$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…1c9abacked Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…3c83backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 36c | 99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.