South American Leagues · resolved market
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x636a2d95031c564efb9f4fb2ec4da7e77e54827d9616cff17277076f392ce6a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 30c | 6,023$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.02 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 70c | 4,124$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.17 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 3,333$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.83 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 930.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 75c | 662.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 24c | 430.24$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.77 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 30c | 374.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 370.12$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 6c | 360$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 43c | 351.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 56c | 343.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 274.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 5c | 240.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 62c | 201.44$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 68c | 148.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 28c | 146.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…8616backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 80c | 112.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 29c | 106$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…9ff4backed Under | 32c | 78.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 65c | 67.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 78c | 35.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 23.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 68c | 16.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.