South American Leagues · resolved market
Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd78de4068551185cd2660e0ef0ad5eb13304c4c43205b90461c64c2038eb85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 2c | 4,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 2,778$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.74 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 1,654$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 77c | 1,482$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.14 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 4c | 1,245$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 3c | 1,116$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 2c | 1,035$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under | 3c | 928.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 76c | 902.18$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.66 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 3c | 667.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 72c | 600$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 4c | 531.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Under | 4c | 498.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 479.59$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.59 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 61c | 450.97$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 428.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 79c | 374.95$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.37 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…132cbacked Under | 3c | 348$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Over | 47c | 301.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 296.11$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 263.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 245.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 60c | 212.51$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.21 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 194.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Under | 78c | 178.94$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 32c | 159.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 24c | 152.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 66c | 148.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 57c | 148.75$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 78c | 134.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 60c | 120$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 24c | 119.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…a43cbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 99.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 78c | 95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 34c | 90.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 24c | 86.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 26c | 76.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 27c | 69.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 59.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 52.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 51.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 74c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Over | 45c | 40.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…cc78backed Under | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 78c | 28.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Over | 52c | 26.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 68c | 22.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 60c | 21.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf809…2ef1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 64c | 18.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 65c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Santos FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Santos FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Santos FC won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Santos FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.