TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x04d5…66d8backed Over46c33,000$15,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,885.325650%28 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c23,375$12,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,628.915,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under63c9,814$6,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,203.638,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over46c7,698$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,174.244843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over28c6,830$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,917.5814829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under54c5,137$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over45c3,636$1,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.311338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under54c3,560$1,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.623941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Under54c3,480$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.651675%12 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.917723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under2c2,943$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.87224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-93.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over50c2,083$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.628818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over47c1,583$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.4910128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over44c1,100$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.992259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over49c1,092$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.1617440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c1,007$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.481,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.994431.8%14 W · 30 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-34.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c924.71$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.342,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under72c793.1$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.2355250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over41c712$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.3257540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde24…2b2fbacked Under56c625$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under54c572.98$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4111551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over46c564.33$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.969148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under64c426.76$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.5895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over60c413$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.921,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2242365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under53c377.45$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed Under3c369.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Over43c365.23$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0129037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c359$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.41,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c352.39$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.851,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over50c331.63$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0717051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c316.53$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.931,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under12c316.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8518426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under29c285.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.786524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under56c255.83$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.022,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over46c246.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.751,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under55c246.27$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7755946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ac…8b4cbacked Over43c232.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.557248.6%35 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under54c231.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under56c230$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.87463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c224.4$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.28247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c211.96$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5912545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8416349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under46c191.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under67c190.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2135240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under56c184.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.944443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under53c183.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.621,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over69c182.15$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4719963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under55c179.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6540451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Under56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c175.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8772350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over47c146.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.665646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over60c144.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.096053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x202b…bd32backed Under56c142.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under56c115.82$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3519164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558668.6%59 W · 27 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under54c92.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7131039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over44c90.64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.963852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over60c58.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3135246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under46c57.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6189645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over40c54.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.241241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.24858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under55c49.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.362653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd54…b7aebacked Under56c46.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.882040%8 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under66c46.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over33c45.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.458720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over33c44.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.449344.1%41 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e8b…1b3abacked Over45c44.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.13944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48fe…825cbacked Under56c40.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.32per pick41cpaid-85.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under55c40.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1414359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ce9…7115backed Over36c39.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over54c39.2$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25139.2%20 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over51c31.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c31.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.67241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c28.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.473,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over62c26.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106331.7%20 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Under54c25.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under50c24.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2411944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under52c21.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1167548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Under55c20.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-84.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3bc7…23f9backed Under55c20.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Under75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128775.9%66 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.