TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Universidad Central de Venezuela FC vs. Santos FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,088
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,088 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98bd…8a55backed Yes38c523.1$200 inWon+$323.19148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c429.08$342 inLost-$341.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes20c364.8$74 inWon+$291.251,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No64c277.62$177 inLost-$176.6940451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c221.09$142 inLost-$141.858,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No59c150.14$89 inLost-$89.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No53c127.11$68 inLost-$6813748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Yes77c124.11$96 inWon+$28.438887.5%77 W · 11 L+19.9wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+42%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c103.62$52 inWon+$51.251,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No12c100$12 inLost-$1218426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c8…8892backed Yes26c84.62$22 inWon+$62.62933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+58.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes29c73.08$21 inWon+$52.0830231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No49c70.08$34 inLost-$34.3441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes20c58$12 inWon+$46.444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Yes48c40$19 inWon+$20.84930.6%15 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x352b…abd8backed Yes37c40$15 inWon+$25.21752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.